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Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Grand Archive - Constructed - Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 13.2% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 42.6% | -4.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 40.6% | -5.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.2 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.2 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.0% | -5.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Fire Suited | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Expel the Departed. Losers more often ran: Nullifying Mirror.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 33 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifling Trap | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Displace | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Blitz Charger | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewing Fowl | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Languid Toadtroll | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chamber of Reflections | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamelash Beastmaster | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Shenju | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Illuminating Charge | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Sanctuary | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Right of Realm | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |